Natalie A. Manley

Democrat · House District 98

Influence: 39 / 100
Moderate Influence #29 overall · #11 in House

At a Glance

Natalie A. Manley ranks #29 overall in the Illinois General Assembly, with moderate influence, They have passed 5 laws with a 19% effectiveness rate, and collaborate with 178 different legislators, . Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness).

Where Natalie A. Manley's Influence Comes From

38%
Moneyball
Bill effectiveness, network size, institutional power
52%
Bridge Influence
Connects different legislative blocs
0%
Swing Votes
Vote pivotality on close roll calls
65%
Sponsor Pull
Bills Natalie sponsors are 15% more likely to advance

Key Signals

  • Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)
  • Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)

Legislative Effectiveness (Moneyball)

5 Laws Passed
19% Effectiveness Rate
6.7 Avg Co-sponsors / Law
12% Cross-Party Bills
178 Unique Collaborators
38.0 Moneyball Score
Network Hub Wide Tent Hidden Gem

Value Assessment

ML model predicts legislative effectiveness from network position, demographics, and topic profile, then compares to actual performance. View full recruitment rankings →

19% Predicted Effectiveness
19% Actual Effectiveness
-0% Residual
Overvalued Value Pctl: 26
Best topics to recruit for: Agriculture Commerce Education

Notable Bills

Highest probability bills sponsored or co-sponsored by Natalie A. Manley.

Bill Description Predicted Dest. P(Advance) Forecast Stage Status
HB1287 HEALTH FACILITIES-AED REQUIRED Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB1697 9-1-1 TELECOMMUNICATOR CPR Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB2459 PUBLIC ACCOUNTING LICENSURE Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB3328 ALZHEIMERS & DEMENTIA ASSESS Became Law 100% 6% Low Signed into Law PASSED
HB3435 HEALTH CARE VIOLENCE PREVENT Became Law 100% 3% Low Signed into Law PASSED
HB4615 CHARITABLE GAMES-PENALTIES → Floor 57% In Committee OPEN
HB5498 CTY CD-TOURISM BUREAUS Stuck 43% In Committee OPEN
HB5085 VETS ASSISTANCE COMM-BUDGET Stuck 37% In Committee OPEN
HB5086 PROP TAX-TWP ASSESSMENT BOOKS Stuck 36% In Committee OPEN
HB5225 AUTISM SPECTRUM-DIAGNOSIS Stuck 35% In Committee OPEN

Voting Bloc

Member of Consensus Democrat Transportation & Labor Bloc (81 members, 100% cohesion). Focus areas: Transportation, Labor, Commerce.