Natalie A. Manley

Democrat · House District 98

Influence: 37 / 100
Moderate Influence #31 overall · #9 in House

At a Glance

Natalie A. Manley ranks #31 overall in the Illinois General Assembly, with moderate influence, They have passed 5 laws with a 19% effectiveness rate, and collaborate with 178 different legislators, . Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness).

Where Natalie A. Manley's Influence Comes From

39%
Moneyball
Bill effectiveness, network size, institutional power
45%
Bridge Influence
Connects different legislative blocs
0%
Swing Votes
Vote pivotality on close roll calls
60%
Sponsor Pull
Bills Natalie sponsors are 10% more likely to advance

Key Signals

  • Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)

Campaign finance

This is SBE campaign receipts, not Moneyball. Moneyball scores legislative effectiveness. These figures are donations to matched candidate committees in the disclosure window.

2025-01-01 – 2026-09-13. Linked via Friends of Natalie Manley

$225,088.29 Total received
183 Receipts
1 Committees

Committees

Committee Party Status Match
Friends of Natalie Manley 23984 Democratic Active Office + district + name (95%)

Top donors

Donor Occupation Employer Receipts Total
Illinois Laborers' Legislative Committee — — 2 $15,000.00
Liuna Chicago Laborers' District Council PAC — — 4 $13,500.00
Chicago Land Operators Joint Labor-Management PAC — — 4 $11,000.00
Health Care Council of Illinois PAC — — 1 $10,000.00
Carpentry Advancement PAC — — 5 $7,000.00
IHA PAC — — 2 $6,000.00
United Assn of Journeymen & Illinois Pipe Trades Assn - PAC Account — — 1 $5,000.00
Realtor Political Action Committee — — 1 $5,000.00
AFT Local 604 Cope II — — 2 $4,333.00
Joliet Firefighters PAC — — 2 $4,166.67
Illinois Trial Lawyers Association PAC — — 2 $3,500.00
IBEW Local 176 — — 2 $3,000.00
Fulcrum Government Strategies — — 1 $2,506.60
Caesar Enterprise Services, LLC — — 1 $2,500.00
Midwest Gaming & Entertainment, LLC — — 1 $2,500.00
PhRMA — — 1 $2,500.00
Local 444 IPAL Fund — — 3 $2,500.00
Sports Betting Alliance — — 1 $2,500.00
Fraternal Order of Police Chicago Lodge NO. 7 — — 1 $2,500.00
Vision Management Services — — 1 $2,000.00
Illinois CPAs for Political Action — — 2 $2,000.00
Community BancPac — — 2 $2,000.00
Teamsters Volunteers in Politics — — 2 $2,000.00
Point of Difference, LLC — — 3 $2,000.00
Ben Lazare Consulting — — 2 $2,000.00

Recent receipts

Date Contributor Committee Amount
2026-04-11 Cornerstone Government Affairs Inc Washington, DC Friends of Natalie Manley $500.00
2026-04-11 I.U.O.E. Local 399 Politicial Education Fund Chicago, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-04-11 Illinois State Medical Society Political Action Committee Chicago, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,500.00
2026-04-11 Committee To Elect Jay C. Hoffman Belleville, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-04-11 Vision Management Services Chicago, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $2,000.00
2026-03-17 Thomas Mannard Evanston, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $200.00
2026-03-17 Illinois CPAs for Political Action Chicago, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Pfizer Inc. Memphis, TN Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Thomas J. Walsh Consulting, LLC Western Springs, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $250.00
2026-03-17 John Lowder Sherman, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $500.00
2026-03-17 United Assn of Journeymen & Illinois Pipe Trades Assn - PAC Account Springfield, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $5,000.00
2026-03-17 ISAPAC Milwaukee, WI Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Illinois Pharmacists PAC Springfield, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 E.R. Squibb & Sons LLC Tampa, FL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Illinois Restaurant Association Chicago, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Community BancPac Springfield, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Zephyr Government Strategies, LLC Evanston, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Phillips 66 Company-2-1089 (Trade Pay) Bartlesville, OK Friends of Natalie Manley $500.00
2026-03-17 Cozen O'Connor Philadelphia, PA Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Fidelity Consulting Group, LLC Rosemont, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Chicago Land Operators Joint Labor-Management PAC Countryside, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $2,500.00
2026-03-17 Teamsters Volunteers in Politics Willow Springs, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 David Ormsby INC Chicago, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $500.00
2026-03-17 Carpentry Advancement PAC Chicago, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $1,000.00
2026-03-17 Martin J. Moylan DBA Friends for Moylan Des Plaines, IL Friends of Natalie Manley $250.00

Legislative Effectiveness (Moneyball)

5 Laws Passed
19% Effectiveness Rate
6.7 Avg Co-sponsors / Law
12% Cross-Party Bills
178 Unique Collaborators
39.1 Moneyball Score
Network Hub Wide Tent Hidden Gem

Value Assessment

ML model predicts legislative effectiveness from network position, demographics, and topic profile, then compares to actual performance. View full recruitment rankings →

18% Predicted Effectiveness
19% Actual Effectiveness
-1% Residual
Overvalued Value Pctl: 16

Notable Bills

Highest probability bills sponsored or co-sponsored by Natalie A. Manley.

Bill Description Predicted Dest. P(Advance) Forecast Stage Status
HB1287 HEALTH FACILITIES-AED REQUIRED Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB1697 9-1-1 TELECOMMUNICATOR CPR Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB2459 PUBLIC ACCOUNTING LICENSURE Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB3328 ALZHEIMERS & DEMENTIA ASSESS Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB3435 HEALTH CARE VIOLENCE PREVENT Became Law 100% 99% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB2352 GOVT ACCOUNT AUDIT THRESHOLD Stuck 18% 1% Low Floor Vote OPEN
HB4615 CHARITABLE GAMES-PENALTIES Stuck 15% — In Committee OPEN
HB4440 SCH CD-LICENSURE-PARAPROFESS Stuck 15% — In Committee OPEN
HB5498 CTY CD-TOURISM BUREAUS Stuck 14% — In Committee OPEN
HB4154 PHARMACIST APPLICATION/EXAM Stuck 13% — In Committee OPEN

Voting Bloc

Member of Opposition Democrat Caucus — 80 members (80D/0R) (80 members, 0% cohesion).