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Issue-Specific Recruitment

Who should you recruit for your issue? This model combines topic affinity (voting record), predicted effectiveness (ML model), persuadability (swing voters score higher), and network reach (bridge influence) to rank the best targets for each policy area.

Model: 179 members, 35 features, LOO-CV R²=0.976, MAE=0.007

Member Value Assessment

Undervalued = structural position predicts higher effectiveness than observed (untapped potential). Overvalued = performing below what network position would suggest.

# Name Chamber Party Predicted Eff. Actual Eff. Residual Value Top Topics
1 Nicholas K. Smith House Democrat 13% 9% +4% Undervalued
2 Jennifer Gong-Gershowitz House Democrat 21% 17% +4% Undervalued
3 Stephanie A. Kifowit House Democrat 9% 6% +3% Undervalued
4 Debbie Meyers-Martin House Democrat 9% 6% +3% Undervalued
5 Mary Beth Canty House Democrat 8% 5% +2% Undervalued
6 Nicolle Grasse House Democrat 19% 17% +2% Undervalued
7 Rick Ryan House Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
8 Michael J. Kelly House Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
9 David Koehler Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
10 Christopher Belt Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
11 Joyce Mason House Democrat 8% 6% +2% Undervalued
12 William "Will" Davis House Democrat 8% 7% +2% Undervalued
13 Cristina Castro Senate Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
14 Sally J. Turner Senate Republican 5% 4% +2% Undervalued
15 Emanuel "Chris" Welch House Democrat 22% 20% +2% Undervalued
16 John F. Curran Senate Republican 4% 2% +2% Undervalued
17 Lisa Davis House Democrat 11% 10% +2% Undervalued
18 Curtis J. Tarver, II House Democrat 6% 4% +1% Undervalued
19 Seth Lewis Senate Republican 6% 5% +1% Undervalued
20 Doris Turner Senate Democrat 15% 14% +1% Undervalued
21 Fred Crespo House Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
22 Chris Balkema Senate Republican 5% 3% +1% Undervalued
23 Sue Rezin Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
24 Diane Blair-Sherlock House Democrat 17% 16% +1% Undervalued
25 Anna Moeller House Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
26 Mike Simmons Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
27 Jaime M. Andrade, Jr. House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
28 Jason Plummer Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
29 Theresa Mah House Democrat 9% 8% +1% Undervalued
30 Linda Holmes Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
31 Laura Fine Senate Democrat 17% 16% +1% Undervalued
32 Martha Deuter House Democrat 13% 12% +1% Undervalued
33 Dave Syverson Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
34 Andrew S. Chesney Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
35 Omar Aquino Senate Democrat 8% 8% +1% Undervalued
36 Janet Yang Rohr House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
37 Laura Faver Dias House Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
38 Elgie R. Sims, Jr. Senate Democrat 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
39 Chapin Rose Senate Republican 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
40 Brad Halbrook House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
41 Willie Preston Senate Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
42 Dennis Tipsword House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
43 Laura Ellman Senate Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
44 Napoleon Harris, III Senate Democrat 17% 17% +1% Undervalued
45 Emil Jones, III Senate Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
46 Donald P. DeWitte Senate Republican 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
47 Maurice A. West, II House Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
48 Kimberly A. Lightford Senate Democrat 3% 2% +1% Undervalued
49 Bradley Fritts House Republican 4% 4% +1% Undervalued
50 Neil Anderson Senate Republican 2% 2% +0% Undervalued
51 Jay Hoffman House Democrat 4% 3% +0% Undervalued
52 Adriane Johnson Senate Democrat 4% 4% +0% Undervalued
53 Kyle Moore House Republican 0% 0% +0% Undervalued
54 Steve McClure Senate Republican 5% 4% +0% Undervalued
55 Bob Morgan House Democrat 9% 9% +0% Fairly Valued
56 Brandun Schweizer House Republican 11% 11% +0% Fairly Valued
57 Patrick Sheehan House Republican 6% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
58 Rita Mayfield House Democrat 2% 1% +0% Fairly Valued
59 Blaine Wilhour House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
60 Regan Deering House Republican 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
61 Maura Hirschauer House Democrat 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
62 Michael J. Coffey, Jr. House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
63 Mattie Hunter Senate Democrat 5% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
64 Tony M. McCombie House Republican 5% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
65 Jason R. Bunting House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
66 Dale Fowler Senate Republican 3% 3% +0% Fairly Valued
67 Karina Villa Senate Democrat 13% 12% +0% Fairly Valued
68 Nicole La Ha House Republican 15% 15% +0% Fairly Valued
69 Dave Severin House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
70 Terri Bryant Senate Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
71 David Friess House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
72 Don Harmon Senate Democrat 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
73 Tom Weber House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
74 Paul Jacobs House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
75 Mary Gill House Democrat 5% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
76 Jennifer Sanalitro House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
77 Ryan Spain House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
78 Barbara Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
79 John M. Cabello House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
80 Jeff Keicher House Republican 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
81 Charles Meier House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
82 Amy L. Grant House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
83 Li Arellano, Jr. Senate Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
84 Margaret Croke House Democrat 4% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
85 Dan Ugaste House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
86 Adam M. Niemerg House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
87 La Shawn K. Ford House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
88 Elizabeth "Lisa" Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
89 Carol Ammons House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
90 Jil Tracy Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
91 Steven Reick House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
92 Craig Wilcox Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
93 Chris Miller House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
94 Patrick Windhorst House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
95 Martin McLaughlin House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
96 Amy Elik House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
97 Wayne A. Rosenthal House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
98 Darby A. Hills Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
99 Margaret A. DeLaRosa House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
100 Justin Cochran House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
101 Bill Cunningham Senate Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
102 Jed Davis House Republican 1% 1% -0% Fairly Valued
103 Suzanne M. Ness House Democrat 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
104 Javier L. Cervantes Senate Democrat 13% 13% -0% Fairly Valued
105 Sara Feigenholtz Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
106 Jackie Haas House Republican 8% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
107 Michael E. Hastings Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
108 Ram Villivalam Senate Democrat 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
109 Daniel Didech House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
110 Katie Stuart House Democrat 6% 6% -0% Fairly Valued
111 Christopher "C.D." Davidsmeyer House Republican 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
112 Celina Villanueva Senate Democrat 2% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
113 Mark L. Walker Senate Democrat 20% 20% -0% Fairly Valued
114 Patrick J. Joyce Senate Democrat 1% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
115 Robert Peters Senate Democrat 10% 11% -0% Fairly Valued
116 Kelly M. Cassidy House Democrat 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
117 Harry Benton House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
118 Lindsey LaPointe House Democrat 6% 7% -0% Fairly Valued
119 Dave Vella House Democrat 3% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
120 Nabeela Syed House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
121 William E Hauter House Republican 16% 17% -0% Fairly Valued
122 Camille Y. Lilly House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
123 Gregg Johnson House Democrat 8% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
124 Norine K. Hammond House Republican 6% 7% -0% Overvalued
125 Yolonda Morris House Democrat 9% 10% -0% Overvalued
126 Tracy Katz Muhl House Democrat 13% 14% -0% Overvalued
127 Kevin Schmidt House Republican 8% 8% -0% Overvalued
128 Dagmara Avelar House Democrat 8% 9% -0% Overvalued
129 Amy Briel House Democrat 5% 6% -0% Overvalued
130 Kam Buckner House Democrat 4% 5% -0% Overvalued
131 Robyn Gabel House Democrat 0% 0% -0% Overvalued
132 Joe C. Sosnowski House Republican 3% 3% -0% Overvalued
133 Sharon Chung House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
134 Lakesia Collins Senate Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
135 Marcus C. Evans, Jr. House Democrat 5% 5% -1% Overvalued
136 Kevin John Olickal House Democrat 4% 4% -1% Overvalued
137 Will Guzzardi House Democrat 8% 9% -1% Overvalued
138 Julie A. Morrison Senate Democrat 14% 15% -1% Overvalued
139 Travis Weaver House Republican 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
140 Ann M. Williams House Democrat 7% 7% -1% Overvalued
141 Michael Crawford House Democrat 13% 13% -1% Overvalued
142 Steve Stadelman Senate Democrat 11% 11% -1% Overvalued
143 Lawrence "Larry" Walsh, Jr. House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
144 Kimberly Du Buclet House Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
145 Robert F. Martwick Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
146 Angelica Guerrero-Cuellar House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
147 Michelle Mussman House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
148 Natalie A. Manley House Democrat 18% 19% -1% Overvalued
149 Sonya M. Harper House Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
150 Justin Slaughter House Democrat 0% 1% -1% Overvalued
151 Mike Porfirio Senate Democrat 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
152 Michael W. Halpin Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
153 Anthony DeLuca House Democrat 15% 16% -1% Overvalued
154 Edgar González, Jr. House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
155 Eva-Dina Delgado House Democrat 13% 14% -1% Overvalued
156 Anne Stava House Democrat 4% 5% -1% Overvalued
157 Graciela Guzmán Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
158 Brad Stephens House Republican 19% 20% -1% Overvalued
159 Robert "Bob" Rita House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
160 Thaddeus Jones House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
161 Suzy Glowiak Hilton Senate Democrat 17% 18% -1% Overvalued
162 Jawaharial Williams House Democrat 8% 10% -1% Overvalued
163 Hoan Huynh House Democrat 10% 12% -1% Overvalued
164 Norma Hernandez House Democrat 11% 12% -1% Overvalued
165 Dan Swanson House Republican 16% 17% -1% Overvalued
166 Jehan Gordon-Booth House Democrat 24% 25% -1% Overvalued
167 Terra Costa Howard House Democrat 22% 24% -1% Overvalued
168 Lilian Jiménez House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
169 Paul Faraci Senate Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
170 Meg Loughran Cappel Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
171 AarĂłn M. OrtĂ­z House Democrat 22% 23% -1% Overvalued
172 Rachel Ventura Senate Democrat 0% 2% -2% Overvalued
173 Matt Hanson House Democrat 27% 29% -2% Overvalued
174 Abdelnasser Rashid House Democrat 13% 14% -2% Overvalued
175 Mary Edly-Allen Senate Democrat 8% 10% -2% Overvalued
176 Erica Harriss Senate Republican 0% 2% -2% Overvalued
177 Martin J. Moylan House Democrat 43% 45% -3% Overvalued
178 Sue Scherer House Democrat 26% 29% -3% Overvalued
179 Laura M. Murphy Senate Democrat 14% 17% -3% Overvalued

Recruit by Topic

Select a policy area to see the top recruitment targets.

Select a topic above to see recruitment targets.

← Intelligence Overview Member Value Model — Ridge Regression + LOO-CV