← Intelligence Overview · Raw Data Tables

Issue-Specific Recruitment

Who should you recruit for your issue? This model combines topic affinity (voting record), predicted effectiveness (ML model), persuadability (swing voters score higher), and network reach (bridge influence) to rank the best targets for each policy area.

Model: 179 members, 35 features, LOO-CV R²=0.980, MAE=0.007

Member Value Assessment

Undervalued = structural position predicts higher effectiveness than observed (untapped potential). Overvalued = performing below what network position would suggest.

#	Name	Chamber	Party	Predicted Eff.	Actual Eff.	Residual	Value	Top Topics
1	Nicholas K. Smith	House	Democrat	13%	9%	+4%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
2	Mary Beth Canty	House	Democrat	8%	5%	+3%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
3	Stephanie A. Kifowit	House	Democrat	9%	7%	+3%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
4	Debbie Meyers-Martin	House	Democrat	9%	6%	+3%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
5	Emanuel "Chris" Welch	House	Democrat	28%	25%	+3%	Undervalued
6	Rick Ryan	House	Democrat	7%	5%	+2%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
7	Michael J. Kelly	House	Democrat	8%	5%	+2%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
8	David Koehler	Senate	Democrat	9%	7%	+2%	Undervalued	Agriculture Criminal Justice
9	Cristina Castro	Senate	Democrat	7%	5%	+2%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
10	William "Will" Davis	House	Democrat	9%	7%	+2%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
11	Sue Rezin	Senate	Republican	2%	0%	+2%	Undervalued	Criminal Justice Insurance & Finance
12	Curtis J. Tarver, II	House	Democrat	6%	4%	+2%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
13	Anna Moeller	House	Democrat	10%	9%	+2%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
14	Dale Fowler	Senate	Republican	4%	3%	+1%	Undervalued	Commerce Labor
15	John F. Curran	Senate	Republican	4%	3%	+1%	Undervalued	Housing Energy & Environment
16	Omar Aquino	Senate	Democrat	9%	8%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
17	Laura Fine	Senate	Democrat	17%	16%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
18	Christopher Belt	Senate	Democrat	8%	7%	+1%	Undervalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
19	Sally J. Turner	Senate	Republican	5%	4%	+1%	Undervalued	Energy & Environment Commerce
20	Mike Simmons	Senate	Democrat	4%	3%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
21	Diane Blair-Sherlock	House	Democrat	17%	16%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
22	Theresa Mah	House	Democrat	10%	9%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
23	Margaret A. DeLaRosa	House	Democrat	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
24	Seth Lewis	Senate	Republican	6%	5%	+1%	Undervalued	Labor Revenue & Pensions
25	Chris Balkema	Senate	Republican	5%	4%	+1%	Undervalued	Transportation Insurance & Finance
26	Joyce Mason	House	Democrat	7%	6%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
27	Jaime M. Andrade, Jr.	House	Democrat	5%	4%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
28	Linda Holmes	Senate	Democrat	4%	3%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
29	Laura Faver Dias	House	Democrat	10%	9%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
30	Napoleon Harris, III	Senate	Democrat	19%	18%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
31	Laura Ellman	Senate	Democrat	10%	9%	+1%	Undervalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
32	Bradley Fritts	House	Republican	5%	4%	+1%	Undervalued	Revenue & Pensions Healthcare
33	Michael J. Coffey, Jr.	House	Republican	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Criminal Justice
34	Doris Turner	Senate	Democrat	15%	14%	+1%	Undervalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
35	Neil Anderson	Senate	Republican	2%	2%	+1%	Undervalued	Housing Healthcare
36	Janet Yang Rohr	House	Democrat	5%	4%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
37	Patrick Sheehan	House	Republican	6%	5%	+1%	Undervalued	Insurance & Finance Agriculture
38	David Friess	House	Republican	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Criminal Justice Revenue & Pensions
39	Dennis Tipsword	House	Republican	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Education Healthcare
40	Willie Preston	Senate	Democrat	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
41	Andrew S. Chesney	Senate	Republican	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Commerce Insurance & Finance
42	Donald P. DeWitte	Senate	Republican	10%	9%	+1%	Undervalued	Housing Insurance & Finance
43	Bob Morgan	House	Democrat	10%	9%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
44	Fred Crespo	House	Democrat	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
45	Jason Plummer	Senate	Republican	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Education Energy & Environment
46	Dave Severin	House	Republican	1%	0%	+1%	Undervalued	Insurance & Finance Criminal Justice
47	Regan Deering	House	Republican	6%	6%	+0%	Undervalued	State Government Criminal Justice
48	Dave Syverson	Senate	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Undervalued	Insurance & Finance Energy & Environment
49	Brad Halbrook	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Undervalued	State Government Insurance & Finance
50	Karina Villa	Senate	Democrat	13%	13%	+0%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
51	Adriane Johnson	Senate	Democrat	4%	4%	+0%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
52	Chapin Rose	Senate	Republican	2%	1%	+0%	Undervalued	Healthcare Transportation
53	Rita Mayfield	House	Democrat	2%	2%	+0%	Undervalued	Agriculture Commerce
54	Amy L. Grant	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Undervalued	Insurance & Finance Agriculture
55	Blaine Wilhour	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	State Government Criminal Justice
56	Kimberly A. Lightford	Senate	Democrat	3%	2%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
57	Maurice A. West, II	House	Democrat	4%	4%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
58	Kyle Moore	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Education Criminal Justice
59	Joe C. Sosnowski	House	Republican	4%	3%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Insurance & Finance Agriculture
60	Michael E. Hastings	Senate	Democrat	16%	16%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Commerce Criminal Justice
61	Barbara Hernandez	House	Democrat	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
62	Emil Jones, III	Senate	Democrat	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
63	John M. Cabello	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Education Criminal Justice
64	Jay Hoffman	House	Democrat	4%	3%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
65	Margaret Croke	House	Democrat	5%	4%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
66	Jeff Keicher	House	Republican	6%	6%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Criminal Justice Labor
67	Dan Ugaste	House	Republican	2%	2%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Insurance & Finance
68	Javier L. Cervantes	Senate	Democrat	13%	13%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
69	Lindsey LaPointe	House	Democrat	7%	7%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Criminal Justice
70	Kelly M. Cassidy	House	Democrat	8%	8%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
71	Nicole La Ha	House	Republican	15%	15%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Commerce Criminal Justice
72	Elgie R. Sims, Jr.	Senate	Democrat	2%	2%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
73	Adam M. Niemerg	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	State Government Education
74	Christopher "C.D." Davidsmeyer	House	Republican	3%	3%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Insurance & Finance Revenue & Pensions
75	Wayne A. Rosenthal	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Education
76	Paul Jacobs	House	Republican	0%	0%	+0%	Fairly Valued	Criminal Justice State Government
77	La Shawn K. Ford	House	Democrat	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
78	Elizabeth "Lisa" Hernandez	House	Democrat	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
79	Charles Meier	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Revenue & Pensions Commerce
80	Carol Ammons	House	Democrat	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
81	Jil Tracy	Senate	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Revenue & Pensions Energy & Environment
82	Steven Reick	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Insurance & Finance Agriculture
83	Craig Wilcox	Senate	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Energy & Environment State Government
84	Chris Miller	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	State Government Education
85	Patrick Windhorst	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Criminal Justice Insurance & Finance
86	Li Arellano, Jr.	Senate	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Transportation Insurance & Finance
87	Terri Bryant	Senate	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Commerce Criminal Justice
88	Martin McLaughlin	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Insurance & Finance Education
89	Amy Elik	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Healthcare Commerce
90	Jennifer Sanalitro	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Energy & Environment Commerce
91	Jason R. Bunting	House	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Criminal Justice Insurance & Finance
92	Mary Gill	House	Democrat	5%	5%	0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
93	Darby A. Hills	Senate	Republican	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued	Labor Agriculture
94	Justin Cochran	House	Democrat	0%	0%	0%	Fairly Valued
95	Brandun Schweizer	House	Republican	11%	11%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Insurance & Finance Education
96	Patrick J. Joyce	Senate	Democrat	2%	2%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Housing Insurance & Finance
97	Lisa Davis	House	Democrat	9%	10%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
98	Mattie Hunter	Senate	Democrat	5%	5%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
99	Suzanne M. Ness	House	Democrat	2%	2%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
100	Tom Weber	House	Republican	2%	2%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Education State Government
101	Katie Stuart	House	Democrat	6%	6%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Commerce Healthcare
102	Robert Peters	Senate	Democrat	11%	11%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
103	Nabeela Syed	House	Democrat	5%	5%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
104	Tracy Katz Muhl	House	Democrat	13%	14%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
105	Mark L. Walker	Senate	Democrat	21%	21%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
106	Martha Deuter	House	Democrat	12%	12%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
107	Amy Briel	House	Democrat	6%	6%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Commerce Criminal Justice
108	Sara Feigenholtz	Senate	Democrat	17%	18%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
109	Ryan Spain	House	Republican	2%	2%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Healthcare Insurance & Finance
110	Dagmara Avelar	House	Democrat	8%	9%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
111	Sharon Chung	House	Democrat	7%	8%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
112	Ram Villivalam	Senate	Democrat	7%	8%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
113	Tony M. McCombie	House	Republican	5%	5%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Commerce Education
114	Ann M. Williams	House	Democrat	7%	8%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
115	Daniel Didech	House	Democrat	4%	4%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
116	Norine K. Hammond	House	Republican	7%	7%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Healthcare Education
117	Bill Cunningham	Senate	Democrat	4%	4%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
118	Will Guzzardi	House	Democrat	9%	9%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
119	Kam Buckner	House	Democrat	5%	5%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
120	Dave Vella	House	Democrat	3%	3%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Energy & Environment
121	Camille Y. Lilly	House	Democrat	4%	4%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
122	Michael Crawford	House	Democrat	13%	14%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
123	Maura Hirschauer	House	Democrat	6%	6%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
124	Nicolle Grasse	House	Democrat	16%	17%	-0%	Fairly Valued	Agriculture Commerce
125	Steve Stadelman	Senate	Democrat	11%	11%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
126	Jennifer Gong-Gershowitz	House	Democrat	16%	17%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
127	Celina Villanueva	Senate	Democrat	2%	3%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
128	Harry Benton	House	Democrat	5%	6%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
129	Yolonda Morris	House	Democrat	10%	10%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
130	Julie A. Morrison	Senate	Democrat	15%	15%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
131	Kevin John Olickal	House	Democrat	4%	5%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
132	Natalie A. Manley	House	Democrat	19%	19%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
133	Steve McClure	Senate	Republican	4%	4%	-0%	Overvalued	Energy & Environment Revenue & Pensions
134	Lakesia Collins	Senate	Democrat	2%	3%	-0%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
135	Robert F. Martwick	Senate	Democrat	3%	4%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
136	Gregg Johnson	House	Democrat	7%	8%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
137	Travis Weaver	House	Republican	10%	11%	-1%	Overvalued	Criminal Justice Revenue & Pensions
138	Jackie Haas	House	Republican	7%	8%	-1%	Overvalued	Education State Government
139	Hoan Huynh	House	Democrat	11%	12%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Criminal Justice
140	Aarón M. Ortíz	House	Democrat	22%	23%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
141	Mike Porfirio	Senate	Democrat	11%	11%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
142	Graciela Guzmán	Senate	Democrat	3%	4%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
143	Marcus C. Evans, Jr.	House	Democrat	5%	5%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
144	Michelle Mussman	House	Democrat	5%	6%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
145	Angelica Guerrero-Cuellar	House	Democrat	9%	10%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
146	William E Hauter	House	Republican	17%	18%	-1%	Overvalued	State Government Insurance & Finance
147	Kimberly Du Buclet	House	Democrat	2%	3%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
148	Jehan Gordon-Booth	House	Democrat	24%	25%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
149	Robyn Gabel	House	Democrat	0%	1%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
150	Jed Davis	House	Republican	1%	2%	-1%	Overvalued	Criminal Justice Education
151	Norma Hernandez	House	Democrat	12%	12%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
152	Terra Costa Howard	House	Democrat	23%	24%	-1%	Overvalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
153	Eva-Dina Delgado	House	Democrat	14%	14%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
154	Robert "Bob" Rita	House	Democrat	7%	7%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
155	Suzy Glowiak Hilton	Senate	Democrat	17%	18%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Education
156	Brad Stephens	House	Republican	19%	20%	-1%	Overvalued	State Government Criminal Justice
157	Edgar González, Jr.	House	Democrat	9%	10%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
158	Sonya M. Harper	House	Democrat	3%	4%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
159	Kevin Schmidt	House	Republican	7%	8%	-1%	Overvalued	Revenue & Pensions Insurance & Finance
160	Paul Faraci	Senate	Democrat	5%	6%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Criminal Justice
161	Thaddeus Jones	House	Democrat	6%	7%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
162	Lilian Jiménez	House	Democrat	5%	6%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
163	Dan Swanson	House	Republican	16%	17%	-1%	Overvalued	Commerce Agriculture
164	Jawaharial Williams	House	Democrat	9%	10%	-1%	Overvalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
165	Lawrence "Larry" Walsh, Jr.	House	Democrat	6%	7%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
166	Justin Slaughter	House	Democrat	0%	1%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
167	Michael W. Halpin	Senate	Democrat	9%	10%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
168	Meg Loughran Cappel	Senate	Democrat	9%	11%	-1%	Overvalued	Commerce Education
169	Sue Scherer	House	Democrat	27%	29%	-1%	Overvalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
170	Anthony DeLuca	House	Democrat	15%	17%	-1%	Overvalued	Housing Agriculture
171	Abdelnasser Rashid	House	Democrat	13%	15%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
172	Matt Hanson	House	Democrat	29%	31%	-1%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
173	Rachel Ventura	Senate	Democrat	0%	2%	-2%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
174	Anne Stava	House	Democrat	4%	5%	-2%	Overvalued	Commerce Criminal Justice
175	Mary Edly-Allen	Senate	Democrat	8%	10%	-2%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
176	Don Harmon	Senate	Democrat	4%	6%	-2%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
177	Martin J. Moylan	House	Democrat	43%	45%	-2%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce
178	Erica Harriss	Senate	Republican	0%	2%	-2%	Overvalued	Agriculture Energy & Environment
179	Laura M. Murphy	Senate	Democrat	14%	17%	-3%	Overvalued	Agriculture Commerce

Recruit by Topic

Select a policy area to see the top recruitment targets.

Select a topic above to see recruitment targets.

← Intelligence Overview Member Value Model — Ridge Regression + LOO-CV