← Intelligence Overview · Follow the money · Raw Data Tables

Issue-Specific Recruitment

Who should you recruit for your issue? This model combines topic affinity (voting record), predicted effectiveness (ML model), persuadability (swing voters score higher), and network reach (bridge influence) to rank the best targets for each policy area.

Model: 179 members, 35 features, LOO-CV R²=0.976, MAE=0.007

Member Value Assessment

Undervalued = structural position predicts higher effectiveness than observed (untapped potential). Overvalued = performing below what network position would suggest.

# Name Chamber Party Predicted Eff. Actual Eff. Residual Value Top Topics
1 Nicholas K. Smith House Democrat 13% 9% +4% Undervalued
2 Jennifer Gong-Gershowitz House Democrat 21% 17% +4% Undervalued
3 Stephanie A. Kifowit House Democrat 9% 6% +3% Undervalued
4 Debbie Meyers-Martin House Democrat 9% 6% +3% Undervalued
5 Mary Beth Canty House Democrat 8% 5% +3% Undervalued
6 Rick Ryan House Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
7 Nicolle Grasse House Democrat 19% 17% +2% Undervalued
8 Michael J. Kelly House Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
9 William "Will" Davis House Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
10 Joyce Mason House Democrat 8% 6% +2% Undervalued
11 Cristina Castro Senate Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
12 Sally J. Turner Senate Republican 6% 4% +2% Undervalued
13 Christopher Belt Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
14 Emanuel "Chris" Welch House Democrat 22% 20% +2% Undervalued
15 Lisa Davis House Democrat 11% 10% +2% Undervalued
16 David Koehler Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
17 Curtis J. Tarver, II House Democrat 6% 4% +1% Undervalued
18 John F. Curran Senate Republican 4% 2% +1% Undervalued
19 Seth Lewis Senate Republican 6% 5% +1% Undervalued
20 Doris Turner Senate Democrat 15% 14% +1% Undervalued
21 Diane Blair-Sherlock House Democrat 17% 16% +1% Undervalued
22 Anna Moeller House Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
23 Omar Aquino Senate Democrat 9% 8% +1% Undervalued
24 Laura Fine Senate Democrat 17% 16% +1% Undervalued
25 Chris Balkema Senate Republican 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
26 Jaime M. Andrade, Jr. House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
27 Theresa Mah House Democrat 9% 8% +1% Undervalued
28 Linda Holmes Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
29 Jason Plummer Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
30 Mike Simmons Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
31 Sue Rezin Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
32 Martha Deuter House Democrat 13% 12% +1% Undervalued
33 Dave Syverson Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
34 Laura Ellman Senate Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
35 Bradley Fritts House Republican 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
36 Andrew S. Chesney Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
37 Laura Faver Dias House Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
38 Michael J. Coffey, Jr. House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
39 Kyle Moore House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
40 Janet Yang Rohr House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
41 Chapin Rose Senate Republican 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
42 Rita Mayfield House Democrat 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
43 Dennis Tipsword House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
44 Donald P. DeWitte Senate Republican 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
45 Jed Davis House Republican 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
46 Maurice A. West, II House Democrat 4% 3% +0% Undervalued
47 Kimberly A. Lightford Senate Democrat 3% 2% +0% Undervalued
48 Willie Preston Senate Democrat 0% 0% +0% Undervalued
49 Elgie R. Sims, Jr. Senate Democrat 2% 1% +0% Undervalued
50 Napoleon Harris, III Senate Democrat 17% 17% +0% Undervalued
51 Jay Hoffman House Democrat 4% 3% +0% Undervalued
52 Brad Halbrook House Republican 0% 0% +0% Undervalued
53 Neil Anderson Senate Republican 2% 2% +0% Undervalued
54 Dale Fowler Senate Republican 3% 3% +0% Undervalued
55 Bob Morgan House Democrat 9% 9% +0% Fairly Valued
56 Emil Jones, III Senate Democrat 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
57 Adriane Johnson Senate Democrat 4% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
58 David Friess House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
59 Mattie Hunter Senate Democrat 5% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
60 Brandun Schweizer House Republican 11% 11% +0% Fairly Valued
61 Patrick Sheehan House Republican 6% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
62 Paul Jacobs House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
63 Dave Severin House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
64 Tony M. McCombie House Republican 5% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
65 Jennifer Sanalitro House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
66 Regan Deering House Republican 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
67 Karina Villa Senate Democrat 13% 12% +0% Fairly Valued
68 Christopher "C.D." Davidsmeyer House Republican 3% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
69 Maura Hirschauer House Democrat 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
70 Steve McClure Senate Republican 5% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
71 Terri Bryant Senate Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
72 Tom Weber House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
73 Mary Gill House Democrat 5% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
74 Blaine Wilhour House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
75 Barbara Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
76 John M. Cabello House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
77 Margaret Croke House Democrat 4% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
78 Jeff Keicher House Republican 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
79 Dan Ugaste House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
80 Jason R. Bunting House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
81 Bill Cunningham Senate Democrat 4% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
82 Amy L. Grant House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
83 Don Harmon Senate Democrat 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
84 Li Arellano, Jr. Senate Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
85 La Shawn K. Ford House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
86 Elizabeth "Lisa" Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
87 Fred Crespo House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
88 Charles Meier House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
89 Carol Ammons House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
90 Jil Tracy Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
91 Steven Reick House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
92 Craig Wilcox Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
93 Chris Miller House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
94 Patrick Windhorst House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
95 Martin McLaughlin House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
96 Adam M. Niemerg House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
97 Amy Elik House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
98 Wayne A. Rosenthal House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
99 Darby A. Hills Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
100 Margaret A. DeLaRosa House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
101 Justin Cochran House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
102 Ryan Spain House Republican 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
103 Nicole La Ha House Republican 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
104 Mark L. Walker Senate Democrat 20% 20% -0% Fairly Valued
105 Michael E. Hastings Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
106 Patrick J. Joyce Senate Democrat 1% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
107 Javier L. Cervantes Senate Democrat 13% 13% -0% Fairly Valued
108 Sara Feigenholtz Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
109 Celina Villanueva Senate Democrat 2% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
110 Marcus C. Evans, Jr. House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
111 Ram Villivalam Senate Democrat 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
112 Suzanne M. Ness House Democrat 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
113 Dagmara Avelar House Democrat 8% 9% -0% Fairly Valued
114 Jackie Haas House Republican 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
115 Harry Benton House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
116 Camille Y. Lilly House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
117 Kevin Schmidt House Republican 8% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
118 Katie Stuart House Democrat 6% 6% -0% Fairly Valued
119 Dave Vella House Democrat 3% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
120 Julie A. Morrison Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
121 Kelly M. Cassidy House Democrat 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
122 Daniel Didech House Democrat 3% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
123 Nabeela Syed House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
124 Norine K. Hammond House Republican 6% 7% -0% Overvalued
125 Sharon Chung House Democrat 7% 7% -0% Overvalued
126 Lindsey LaPointe House Democrat 6% 7% -0% Overvalued
127 Yolonda Morris House Democrat 9% 10% -0% Overvalued
128 Kevin John Olickal House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Overvalued
129 Gregg Johnson House Democrat 8% 8% -0% Overvalued
130 Robert Peters Senate Democrat 10% 11% -0% Overvalued
131 Tracy Katz Muhl House Democrat 13% 14% -0% Overvalued
132 Robyn Gabel House Democrat 0% 0% -0% Overvalued
133 Michelle Mussman House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
134 Kam Buckner House Democrat 4% 5% -1% Overvalued
135 Ann M. Williams House Democrat 7% 7% -1% Overvalued
136 William E Hauter House Republican 16% 17% -1% Overvalued
137 Joe C. Sosnowski House Republican 3% 3% -1% Overvalued
138 Lawrence "Larry" Walsh, Jr. House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
139 Amy Briel House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
140 Robert F. Martwick Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
141 Michael Crawford House Democrat 13% 13% -1% Overvalued
142 Lakesia Collins Senate Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
143 Will Guzzardi House Democrat 8% 9% -1% Overvalued
144 Kimberly Du Buclet House Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
145 Sonya M. Harper House Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
146 Mike Porfirio Senate Democrat 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
147 Steve Stadelman Senate Democrat 11% 11% -1% Overvalued
148 Justin Slaughter House Democrat 0% 1% -1% Overvalued
149 Travis Weaver House Republican 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
150 Natalie A. Manley House Democrat 18% 19% -1% Overvalued
151 Angelica Guerrero-Cuellar House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
152 Edgar González, Jr. House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
153 Graciela Guzmán Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
154 Robert "Bob" Rita House Democrat 7% 7% -1% Overvalued
155 Anne Stava House Democrat 4% 5% -1% Overvalued
156 Eva-Dina Delgado House Democrat 13% 14% -1% Overvalued
157 Michael W. Halpin Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
158 Norma Hernandez House Democrat 11% 12% -1% Overvalued
159 Suzy Glowiak Hilton Senate Democrat 17% 18% -1% Overvalued
160 Thaddeus Jones House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
161 Anthony DeLuca House Democrat 15% 16% -1% Overvalued
162 Hoan Huynh House Democrat 11% 12% -1% Overvalued
163 Jawaharial Williams House Democrat 8% 10% -1% Overvalued
164 Brad Stephens House Republican 19% 20% -1% Overvalued
165 Lilian Jiménez House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
166 Jehan Gordon-Booth House Democrat 24% 25% -1% Overvalued
167 Dan Swanson House Republican 16% 17% -1% Overvalued
168 Meg Loughran Cappel Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
169 AarĂłn M. OrtĂ­z House Democrat 22% 23% -1% Overvalued
170 Paul Faraci Senate Democrat 4% 6% -1% Overvalued
171 Terra Costa Howard House Democrat 22% 24% -1% Overvalued
172 Abdelnasser Rashid House Democrat 13% 14% -1% Overvalued
173 Rachel Ventura Senate Democrat 0% 2% -2% Overvalued
174 Matt Hanson House Democrat 27% 29% -2% Overvalued
175 Mary Edly-Allen Senate Democrat 8% 10% -2% Overvalued
176 Erica Harriss Senate Republican 0% 2% -2% Overvalued
177 Martin J. Moylan House Democrat 43% 45% -2% Overvalued
178 Sue Scherer House Democrat 26% 29% -3% Overvalued
179 Laura M. Murphy Senate Democrat 14% 17% -3% Overvalued

Recruit by Topic

Select a policy area to see the top recruitment targets.

Select a topic above to see recruitment targets.

← Intelligence Overview Member Value Model — Ridge Regression + LOO-CV