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Issue-Specific Recruitment

Who should you recruit for your issue? This model combines topic affinity (voting record), predicted effectiveness (ML model), persuadability (swing voters score higher), and network reach (bridge influence) to rank the best targets for each policy area.

Model: 179 members, 35 features, LOO-CV R²=0.977, MAE=0.007

Member Value Assessment

Undervalued = structural position predicts higher effectiveness than observed (untapped potential). Overvalued = performing below what network position would suggest.

# Name Chamber Party Predicted Eff. Actual Eff. Residual Value Top Topics
1 Jennifer Gong-Gershowitz House Democrat 21% 17% +4% Undervalued
2 Nicholas K. Smith House Democrat 13% 9% +4% Undervalued
3 Mary Beth Canty House Democrat 8% 5% +3% Undervalued Transportation
4 Stephanie A. Kifowit House Democrat 9% 7% +3% Undervalued
5 Debbie Meyers-Martin House Democrat 9% 6% +3% Undervalued
6 Emanuel "Chris" Welch House Democrat 28% 25% +3% Undervalued
7 Michael J. Kelly House Democrat 8% 5% +2% Undervalued
8 David Koehler Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
9 Cristina Castro Senate Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
10 William "Will" Davis House Democrat 8% 7% +2% Undervalued
11 Joyce Mason House Democrat 8% 6% +2% Undervalued
12 Christopher Belt Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
13 Sally J. Turner Senate Republican 6% 4% +2% Undervalued
14 Curtis J. Tarver, II House Democrat 6% 4% +2% Undervalued
15 Nicolle Grasse House Democrat 18% 17% +1% Undervalued State Government
16 Doris Turner Senate Democrat 15% 14% +1% Undervalued
17 Anna Moeller House Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
18 Theresa Mah House Democrat 10% 8% +1% Undervalued
19 Jason Plummer Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
20 Seth Lewis Senate Republican 6% 5% +1% Undervalued
21 Jaime M. Andrade, Jr. House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
22 Rick Ryan House Democrat 6% 5% +1% Undervalued State Government
23 Sue Rezin Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
24 Chris Balkema Senate Republican 5% 3% +1% Undervalued
25 Martha Deuter House Democrat 14% 12% +1% Undervalued
26 Mike Simmons Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
27 John F. Curran Senate Republican 4% 2% +1% Undervalued
28 Omar Aquino Senate Democrat 9% 8% +1% Undervalued
29 Laura Fine Senate Democrat 17% 16% +1% Undervalued
30 Brandun Schweizer House Republican 12% 11% +1% Undervalued
31 Bradley Fritts House Republican 5% 4% +1% Undervalued Transportation
32 Kyle Moore House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
33 Andrew S. Chesney Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
34 Janet Yang Rohr House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
35 Donald P. DeWitte Senate Republican 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
36 Fred Crespo House Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
37 Dave Syverson Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
38 Laura Ellman Senate Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
39 Willie Preston Senate Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
40 Lisa Davis House Democrat 10% 10% +1% Undervalued State Government
41 Linda Holmes Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
42 Dennis Tipsword House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
43 Rita Mayfield House Democrat 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
44 Chapin Rose Senate Republican 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
45 Maurice A. West, II House Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
46 Neil Anderson Senate Republican 2% 2% +1% Undervalued
47 Regan Deering House Republican 6% 6% +0% Undervalued
48 Elgie R. Sims, Jr. Senate Democrat 2% 1% +0% Undervalued
49 Bob Morgan House Democrat 10% 9% +0% Undervalued
50 Maura Hirschauer House Democrat 6% 6% +0% Undervalued
51 Brad Halbrook House Republican 0% 0% +0% Undervalued
52 Napoleon Harris, III Senate Democrat 17% 17% +0% Undervalued
53 Adriane Johnson Senate Democrat 4% 4% +0% Undervalued
54 Patrick Sheehan House Republican 6% 5% +0% Undervalued
55 Jay Hoffman House Democrat 4% 3% +0% Fairly Valued
56 Dave Severin House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued Transportation
57 David Friess House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
58 Dale Fowler Senate Republican 3% 3% +0% Fairly Valued
59 Karina Villa Senate Democrat 13% 12% +0% Fairly Valued
60 Nicole La Ha House Republican 15% 15% +0% Fairly Valued
61 Tom Weber House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
62 Barbara Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
63 Diane Blair-Sherlock House Democrat 16% 16% +0% Fairly Valued State Government
64 Steve McClure Senate Republican 5% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
65 Blaine Wilhour House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
66 Paul Jacobs House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
67 Don Harmon Senate Democrat 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
68 Margaret Croke House Democrat 5% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
69 Jeff Keicher House Republican 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
70 Dan Ugaste House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
71 Jason R. Bunting House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
72 Mattie Hunter Senate Democrat 4% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
73 Steven Reick House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
74 Terri Bryant Senate Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
75 Mary Gill House Democrat 5% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
76 Kimberly A. Lightford Senate Democrat 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
77 Amy Elik House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
78 Javier L. Cervantes Senate Democrat 13% 13% +0% Fairly Valued
79 Amy L. Grant House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
80 Emil Jones, III Senate Democrat 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
81 Mark L. Walker Senate Democrat 20% 20% +0% Fairly Valued
82 Patrick J. Joyce Senate Democrat 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
83 Michael J. Coffey, Jr. House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued State Government
84 Suzanne M. Ness House Democrat 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
85 La Shawn K. Ford House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
86 Elizabeth "Lisa" Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
87 Charles Meier House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
88 Carol Ammons House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
89 Jil Tracy Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
90 Craig Wilcox Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
91 Chris Miller House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
92 Patrick Windhorst House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
93 Li Arellano, Jr. Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
94 Martin McLaughlin House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
95 Adam M. Niemerg House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
96 Jennifer Sanalitro House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued Transportation
97 John M. Cabello House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
98 Wayne A. Rosenthal House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
99 Darby A. Hills Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
100 Margaret A. DeLaRosa House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
101 Justin Cochran House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued Transportation
102 Ryan Spain House Republican 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued Transportation
103 Jackie Haas House Republican 8% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
104 Michael E. Hastings Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
105 Bill Cunningham Senate Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
106 Ram Villivalam Senate Democrat 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
107 Lindsey LaPointe House Democrat 7% 7% -0% Fairly Valued
108 Celina Villanueva Senate Democrat 2% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
109 Tony M. McCombie House Republican 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
110 Sara Feigenholtz Senate Democrat 15% 16% -0% Fairly Valued
111 Yolonda Morris House Democrat 9% 10% -0% Fairly Valued
112 Harry Benton House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
113 Kevin Schmidt House Republican 8% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
114 Kelly M. Cassidy House Democrat 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
115 Kam Buckner House Democrat 4% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
116 Norine K. Hammond House Republican 7% 7% -0% Fairly Valued
117 Katie Stuart House Democrat 6% 6% -0% Fairly Valued
118 Daniel Didech House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
119 Kevin John Olickal House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
120 Nabeela Syed House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
121 Joe C. Sosnowski House Republican 3% 3% -0% Fairly Valued Transportation
122 Sharon Chung House Democrat 7% 7% -0% Fairly Valued
123 Camille Y. Lilly House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
124 Amy Briel House Democrat 5% 6% -0% Overvalued Transportation
125 Robert Peters Senate Democrat 10% 11% -0% Overvalued
126 Laura Faver Dias House Democrat 9% 9% -0% Overvalued State Government
127 Dagmara Avelar House Democrat 8% 9% -0% Overvalued Transportation
128 Robyn Gabel House Democrat 0% 0% -0% Overvalued
129 Marcus C. Evans, Jr. House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Overvalued
130 Gregg Johnson House Democrat 8% 8% -0% Overvalued
131 William E Hauter House Republican 16% 17% -0% Overvalued
132 Will Guzzardi House Democrat 8% 9% -1% Overvalued
133 Christopher "C.D." Davidsmeyer House Republican 2% 2% -1% Overvalued
134 Dave Vella House Democrat 3% 3% -1% Overvalued
135 Lakesia Collins Senate Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
136 Tracy Katz Muhl House Democrat 13% 14% -1% Overvalued
137 Michelle Mussman House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
138 Mike Porfirio Senate Democrat 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
139 Robert F. Martwick Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
140 Travis Weaver House Republican 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
141 Jed Davis House Republican 1% 1% -1% Overvalued
142 Edgar González, Jr. House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
143 Ann M. Williams House Democrat 7% 7% -1% Overvalued
144 Julie A. Morrison Senate Democrat 14% 15% -1% Overvalued
145 Steve Stadelman Senate Democrat 11% 11% -1% Overvalued
146 Kimberly Du Buclet House Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
147 Michael W. Halpin Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
148 Graciela Guzmán Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
149 Sonya M. Harper House Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
150 Eva-Dina Delgado House Democrat 14% 14% -1% Overvalued
151 Anne Stava House Democrat 4% 5% -1% Overvalued
152 Lawrence "Larry" Walsh, Jr. House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
153 Justin Slaughter House Democrat 0% 1% -1% Overvalued
154 Norma Hernandez House Democrat 12% 12% -1% Overvalued
155 Hoan Huynh House Democrat 11% 12% -1% Overvalued
156 Thaddeus Jones House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
157 Natalie A. Manley House Democrat 18% 19% -1% Overvalued
158 Brad Stephens House Republican 19% 20% -1% Overvalued
159 Suzy Glowiak Hilton Senate Democrat 17% 18% -1% Overvalued
160 Robert "Bob" Rita House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
161 Anthony DeLuca House Democrat 15% 16% -1% Overvalued
162 Angelica Guerrero-Cuellar House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued Transportation
163 Lilian Jiménez House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
164 Jawaharial Williams House Democrat 8% 10% -1% Overvalued
165 AarĂłn M. OrtĂ­z House Democrat 22% 23% -1% Overvalued
166 Paul Faraci Senate Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
167 Jehan Gordon-Booth House Democrat 24% 25% -1% Overvalued
168 Terra Costa Howard House Democrat 22% 24% -1% Overvalued
169 Meg Loughran Cappel Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
170 Rachel Ventura Senate Democrat 0% 2% -1% Overvalued
171 Abdelnasser Rashid House Democrat 13% 14% -2% Overvalued
172 Matt Hanson House Democrat 27% 29% -2% Overvalued Transportation
173 Mary Edly-Allen Senate Democrat 8% 10% -2% Overvalued
174 Dan Swanson House Republican 16% 17% -2% Overvalued State Government
175 Michael Crawford House Democrat 11% 13% -2% Overvalued State Government
176 Martin J. Moylan House Democrat 43% 45% -2% Overvalued
177 Erica Harriss Senate Republican 0% 2% -2% Overvalued
178 Sue Scherer House Democrat 26% 29% -3% Overvalued
179 Laura M. Murphy Senate Democrat 14% 17% -3% Overvalued

Recruit by Topic

Select a policy area to see the top recruitment targets.

Select a topic above to see recruitment targets.

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