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Issue-Specific Recruitment

Who should you recruit for your issue? This model combines topic affinity (voting record), predicted effectiveness (ML model), persuadability (swing voters score higher), and network reach (bridge influence) to rank the best targets for each policy area.

Model: 179 members, 35 features, LOO-CV R²=0.976, MAE=0.008

Member Value Assessment

Undervalued = structural position predicts higher effectiveness than observed (untapped potential). Overvalued = performing below what network position would suggest.

# Name Chamber Party Predicted Eff. Actual Eff. Residual Value Top Topics
1 Jennifer Gong-Gershowitz House Democrat 21% 17% +4% Undervalued
2 Nicholas K. Smith House Democrat 13% 9% +4% Undervalued
3 Stephanie A. Kifowit House Democrat 9% 6% +3% Undervalued
4 Mary Beth Canty House Democrat 8% 5% +3% Undervalued
5 Debbie Meyers-Martin House Democrat 8% 6% +3% Undervalued
6 Rick Ryan House Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
7 Nicolle Grasse House Democrat 19% 17% +2% Undervalued
8 Michael J. Kelly House Democrat 8% 5% +2% Undervalued
9 William "Will" Davis House Democrat 8% 7% +2% Undervalued
10 Emanuel "Chris" Welch House Democrat 22% 20% +2% Undervalued
11 Cristina Castro Senate Democrat 7% 5% +2% Undervalued
12 Christopher Belt Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
13 David Koehler Senate Democrat 9% 7% +2% Undervalued
14 Joyce Mason House Democrat 8% 6% +2% Undervalued
15 Lisa Davis House Democrat 11% 10% +2% Undervalued
16 Sally J. Turner Senate Republican 5% 4% +2% Undervalued
17 Seth Lewis Senate Republican 6% 5% +2% Undervalued
18 Curtis J. Tarver, II House Democrat 6% 4% +1% Undervalued
19 John F. Curran Senate Republican 4% 2% +1% Undervalued
20 Sue Rezin Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
21 Doris Turner Senate Democrat 15% 14% +1% Undervalued
22 Anna Moeller House Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
23 Mike Simmons Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
24 Diane Blair-Sherlock House Democrat 17% 16% +1% Undervalued
25 Jason Plummer Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
26 Chris Balkema Senate Republican 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
27 Jaime M. Andrade, Jr. House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
28 Laura Fine Senate Democrat 17% 16% +1% Undervalued
29 Theresa Mah House Democrat 9% 8% +1% Undervalued
30 Laura Faver Dias House Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
31 Linda Holmes Senate Democrat 4% 3% +1% Undervalued
32 Martha Deuter House Democrat 13% 12% +1% Undervalued
33 Dave Syverson Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
34 Andrew S. Chesney Senate Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
35 Don Harmon Senate Democrat 6% 6% +1% Undervalued
36 Emil Jones, III Senate Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
37 Elgie R. Sims, Jr. Senate Democrat 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
38 Fred Crespo House Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
39 Chapin Rose Senate Republican 2% 1% +1% Undervalued
40 Brad Halbrook House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
41 Laura Ellman Senate Democrat 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
42 Willie Preston Senate Democrat 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
43 Janet Yang Rohr House Democrat 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
44 Bradley Fritts House Republican 5% 4% +1% Undervalued
45 Donald P. DeWitte Senate Republican 10% 9% +1% Undervalued
46 Kyle Moore House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
47 Michael J. Coffey, Jr. House Republican 1% 0% +1% Undervalued
48 Bob Morgan House Democrat 9% 9% +0% Undervalued
49 Dennis Tipsword House Republican 0% 0% +0% Undervalued
50 Neil Anderson Senate Republican 2% 2% +0% Undervalued
51 Rita Mayfield House Democrat 2% 1% +0% Undervalued
52 Napoleon Harris, III Senate Democrat 17% 17% +0% Undervalued
53 Adriane Johnson Senate Democrat 4% 4% +0% Undervalued
54 Jay Hoffman House Democrat 4% 3% +0% Undervalued
55 Maurice A. West, II House Democrat 4% 3% +0% Fairly Valued
56 Patrick Sheehan House Republican 6% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
57 Omar Aquino Senate Democrat 8% 8% +0% Fairly Valued
58 John M. Cabello House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
59 Kimberly A. Lightford Senate Democrat 3% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
60 Dale Fowler Senate Republican 3% 3% +0% Fairly Valued
61 Brandun Schweizer House Republican 11% 11% +0% Fairly Valued
62 Dave Severin House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
63 Karina Villa Senate Democrat 13% 12% +0% Fairly Valued
64 Maura Hirschauer House Democrat 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
65 Li Arellano, Jr. Senate Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
66 David Friess House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
67 Jennifer Sanalitro House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
68 Regan Deering House Republican 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
69 Jeff Keicher House Republican 6% 6% +0% Fairly Valued
70 Steve McClure Senate Republican 5% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
71 Margaret Croke House Democrat 5% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
72 Paul Jacobs House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
73 Mattie Hunter Senate Democrat 4% 4% +0% Fairly Valued
74 Ryan Spain House Republican 2% 2% +0% Fairly Valued
75 Terri Bryant Senate Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
76 Jason R. Bunting House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
77 Steven Reick House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
78 Amy L. Grant House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
79 Barbara Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
80 Nicole La Ha House Republican 15% 15% +0% Fairly Valued
81 Mary Gill House Democrat 5% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
82 Chris Miller House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
83 Amy Elik House Republican 0% 0% +0% Fairly Valued
84 Tony M. McCombie House Republican 5% 5% +0% Fairly Valued
85 La Shawn K. Ford House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
86 Elizabeth "Lisa" Hernandez House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
87 Charles Meier House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
88 Carol Ammons House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
89 Jil Tracy Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
90 Craig Wilcox Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
91 Patrick Windhorst House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
92 Blaine Wilhour House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
93 Martin McLaughlin House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
94 Adam M. Niemerg House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
95 Wayne A. Rosenthal House Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
96 Darby A. Hills Senate Republican 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
97 Margaret A. DeLaRosa House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
98 Justin Cochran House Democrat 0% 0% 0% Fairly Valued
99 Sara Feigenholtz Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
100 Ram Villivalam Senate Democrat 8% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
101 Christopher "C.D." Davidsmeyer House Republican 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
102 Tom Weber House Republican 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
103 Javier L. Cervantes Senate Democrat 13% 13% -0% Fairly Valued
104 Suzanne M. Ness House Democrat 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
105 Dan Ugaste House Republican 2% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
106 Jackie Haas House Republican 8% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
107 Patrick J. Joyce Senate Democrat 1% 2% -0% Fairly Valued
108 Celina Villanueva Senate Democrat 2% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
109 Bill Cunningham Senate Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
110 Mark L. Walker Senate Democrat 20% 20% -0% Fairly Valued
111 Lindsey LaPointe House Democrat 7% 7% -0% Fairly Valued
112 Kelly M. Cassidy House Democrat 7% 8% -0% Fairly Valued
113 Michael E. Hastings Senate Democrat 15% 15% -0% Fairly Valued
114 Daniel Didech House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Fairly Valued
115 Kam Buckner House Democrat 4% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
116 Jed Davis House Republican 1% 1% -0% Fairly Valued
117 Joe C. Sosnowski House Republican 3% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
118 Katie Stuart House Democrat 6% 6% -0% Fairly Valued
119 Robert Peters Senate Democrat 10% 11% -0% Fairly Valued
120 Ann M. Williams House Democrat 7% 7% -0% Fairly Valued
121 Dave Vella House Democrat 3% 3% -0% Fairly Valued
122 Nabeela Syed House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Fairly Valued
123 Norine K. Hammond House Republican 6% 7% -0% Fairly Valued
124 Camille Y. Lilly House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Overvalued
125 Marcus C. Evans, Jr. House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Overvalued
126 William E Hauter House Republican 16% 17% -0% Overvalued
127 Tracy Katz Muhl House Democrat 13% 14% -0% Overvalued
128 Kevin John Olickal House Democrat 4% 4% -0% Overvalued
129 Harry Benton House Democrat 5% 5% -0% Overvalued
130 Dagmara Avelar House Democrat 8% 9% -0% Overvalued
131 Amy Briel House Democrat 5% 6% -0% Overvalued
132 Robyn Gabel House Democrat 0% 0% -0% Overvalued
133 Gregg Johnson House Democrat 7% 8% -1% Overvalued
134 Sharon Chung House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
135 Kevin Schmidt House Republican 8% 8% -1% Overvalued
136 Robert F. Martwick Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
137 Lawrence "Larry" Walsh, Jr. House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
138 Julie A. Morrison Senate Democrat 14% 15% -1% Overvalued
139 Lakesia Collins Senate Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
140 Yolonda Morris House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
141 Michael Crawford House Democrat 13% 13% -1% Overvalued
142 Will Guzzardi House Democrat 8% 9% -1% Overvalued
143 Mike Porfirio Senate Democrat 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
144 Angelica Guerrero-Cuellar House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
145 Michelle Mussman House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
146 Steve Stadelman Senate Democrat 11% 11% -1% Overvalued
147 Eva-Dina Delgado House Democrat 14% 14% -1% Overvalued
148 Travis Weaver House Republican 10% 11% -1% Overvalued
149 Natalie A. Manley House Democrat 18% 19% -1% Overvalued
150 Kimberly Du Buclet House Democrat 2% 3% -1% Overvalued
151 Justin Slaughter House Democrat 0% 1% -1% Overvalued
152 Robert "Bob" Rita House Democrat 7% 7% -1% Overvalued
153 Graciela Guzmán Senate Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
154 Brad Stephens House Republican 19% 20% -1% Overvalued
155 Thaddeus Jones House Democrat 6% 7% -1% Overvalued
156 Edgar González, Jr. House Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
157 Sonya M. Harper House Democrat 3% 4% -1% Overvalued
158 Michael W. Halpin Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
159 Hoan Huynh House Democrat 11% 12% -1% Overvalued
160 Dan Swanson House Republican 16% 17% -1% Overvalued
161 Anne Stava House Democrat 4% 5% -1% Overvalued
162 Anthony DeLuca House Democrat 15% 16% -1% Overvalued
163 Norma Hernandez House Democrat 11% 12% -1% Overvalued
164 Suzy Glowiak Hilton Senate Democrat 17% 18% -1% Overvalued
165 Jawaharial Williams House Democrat 8% 10% -1% Overvalued
166 Lilian Jiménez House Democrat 5% 6% -1% Overvalued
167 AarĂłn M. OrtĂ­z House Democrat 22% 23% -1% Overvalued
168 Jehan Gordon-Booth House Democrat 24% 25% -1% Overvalued
169 Terra Costa Howard House Democrat 22% 24% -1% Overvalued
170 Paul Faraci Senate Democrat 4% 6% -1% Overvalued
171 Meg Loughran Cappel Senate Democrat 9% 10% -1% Overvalued
172 Rachel Ventura Senate Democrat 0% 2% -2% Overvalued
173 Abdelnasser Rashid House Democrat 13% 14% -2% Overvalued
174 Mary Edly-Allen Senate Democrat 8% 10% -2% Overvalued
175 Matt Hanson House Democrat 27% 29% -2% Overvalued
176 Erica Harriss Senate Republican 0% 2% -2% Overvalued
177 Martin J. Moylan House Democrat 43% 45% -2% Overvalued
178 Sue Scherer House Democrat 26% 29% -3% Overvalued
179 Laura M. Murphy Senate Democrat 13% 17% -3% Overvalued

Recruit by Topic

Select a policy area to see the top recruitment targets.

Select a topic above to see recruitment targets.

← Intelligence Overview Member Value Model — Ridge Regression + LOO-CV