Legislative Intelligence

What's happening in the Illinois General Assembly right now.

Model Confidence: RELIABLE ROC-AUC 0.936 · Last backtest: 62% accurate
9925 bills scored · 2 voting blocs · 108 anomalies flagged

Bills to Watch

Open bills with the most interesting ML signals — high confidence forecasts, surprise predictions, and bills at critical junctures.

Stuck 99%

SB0206

MEDICAID-HYPOALLERGENIC FORMLA

Doris Turner Passed Committee
Warning: reached Passed Committee but model predicts stall (99% confidence)
Stuck 99%

SB0105

OPEN MEETINGS ACT

Sara Feigenholtz Passed Committee
Warning: reached Passed Committee but model predicts stall (99% confidence)

Upcoming Hearings

Committee hearings scheduled in the next 14 days — key moments for witness slips and constituent contact.

No upcoming hearings in the schedule.

10 open bills in committee (or more) never scheduled for a hearing
  • HB1056 — PREVAILING WAGE-PUBLIC WORKS In Committee
  • SB1939 — MOTOR VEHICLE FRANCHISE-SALES In Committee
  • SB1486 — CONSUMER FRAUD-FEE DISCLOSURE In Committee
  • SB1988 — COLLEGE PRESS-PUBLIC MEDIA In Committee
  • HB0226 — BUSINESS-TECH In Committee
  • HB0035 — AI USE IN HEALTH INSURANCE ACT In Committee
  • HB1081 — MEDICAID-THERAPAUTIC RECREATON In Committee
  • HB4244 — DISPLAY NATIONAL SYMBOLS ACT In Committee
  • HB5726 — HIGHWAY CD-HONOR DESIGNATION In Committee
  • SB1524 — DOC-HOSPICE/PALLIATIVE CARE In Committee

Power Movers

Legislators with the highest true influence — combining bill effectiveness, network position, swing votes, and ML-predicted sponsor pull.

#1 Moderate

Napoleon Harris, III

Democrat · Senate District 15

49
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#2 Moderate

Martin J. Moylan

Democrat · House District 55

47
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#3 Moderate

Laura M. Murphy

Democrat · Senate District 28

47
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#4 Moderate

Suzy Glowiak Hilton

Democrat · Senate District 23

46
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#5 Moderate

Sara Feigenholtz

Democrat · Senate District 6

45
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#6 Moderate

David Koehler

Democrat · Senate District 46

44
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)
#7 Moderate

Jehan Gordon-Booth

Democrat · House District 92

44
Gets bills passed (high Moneyball) Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)
#8 Moderate

Matt Hanson

Democrat · House District 83

44
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)

Coalition Landscape

2 voting blocs discovered by ML. These are groups of legislators who consistently vote together.

Opposition Dem-Leaning Caucus

140 members 120D / 20R Cohesion: 0%
Top influencer: Napoleon Harris, III

Opposition Republican Caucus

40 members 0D / 40R Cohesion: 0%
Top influencer: Brad Stephens

Anomaly Alert

Bills with suspicious witness slip patterns that may indicate coordinated campaigns.

HB2827 HOMESCHOOL ACT single org files 81% of slips; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); very low org diversity (4.5%); high org concentration (HHI=0.66) 133746 slips
HB1402 $CDB-J’VILLE DEVELOP CTR single org files 92% of slips; names appear 6.0x on avg; high org concentration (HHI=0.85) 12 slips
HB2927 INCLUSIVE HISTORY ACT single org files 81% of slips; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); high org concentration (HHI=0.66) 1317 slips
HB3853 PROTECT MEDICAL EQUIP FREEDOM single org files 79% of slips; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); high org concentration (HHI=0.63) 2718 slips
HB1390 MOTOR FUEL-VARIOUS single org files 80% of slips; names appear 5.0x on avg; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); high org concentration (HHI=0.68) 10 slips