Michael J. Kelly

Democrat · House District 15

Influence: 31 / 100
Moderate Influence #65 overall · #36 in House

At a Glance

Michael J. Kelly ranks #65 overall in the Illinois General Assembly, with moderate influence, They have passed 2 laws with a 5% effectiveness rate, and collaborate with 178 different legislators, . Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness).

Where Michael J. Kelly's Influence Comes From

31%
Moneyball
Bill effectiveness, network size, institutional power
45%
Bridge Influence
Connects different legislative blocs
0%
Swing Votes
Vote pivotality on close roll calls
50%
Sponsor Pull
ML-predicted effect of sponsorship on bill success

Key Signals

  • Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)

Campaign finance

This is SBE campaign receipts, not Moneyball. Moneyball scores legislative effectiveness. These figures are donations to matched candidate committees in the disclosure window.

2025-01-01 – 2026-09-13. Linked via Friends of Mike Kelly

$286,801.63 Total received
176 Receipts
1 Committees

Committees

Committee Party Status Match
Friends of Mike Kelly 37053 Democratic Active Office + district + name (95%)

Top donors

Donor Occupation Employer Receipts Total
Local 2 Chicago Firefighters Union Local 2 — — 2 $29,000.00
International Association of Fire Fighters — — 2 $27,500.00
Associated Fire Fighters of Illinois — — 3 $20,000.00
J & J Gaming, LLC — — 3 $11,000.00
Save Our Local Businesses Illinois PAC — — 1 $10,000.00
Chicago Land Operators Joint Labor-Management — — 3 $8,500.00
Fraternal Order of Police Chicago Lodge No. 7 — — 2 $7,500.00
Accel Entertainment Gaming, LLC — — 2 $7,000.00
LiUNA! — — 3 $6,000.00
Illinois Manufactured Housing Association — — 2 $5,000.00
Illinois Pipe Trade Association — — 1 $5,000.00
Ironworkers Local Union #1 — — 1 $5,000.00
Car of Illinois — — 4 $4,500.00
Illinois Trial Lawyers Association — — 2 $4,000.00
Comcast Business — — 2 $4,000.00
Associated Beer Distributors of Illinois PAC — — 2 $4,000.00
Ironworkers District Council of Chicago & Vicinity - P.A.C. — — 2 $3,500.00
Reynolds American — — 2 $3,000.00
Illinois Broadband and Cable Association — — 2 $3,000.00
LiUNA Chicago Laborers' District Council — — 1 $3,000.00
Chicago John Dineen Lodge #7 — — 1 $2,500.00
SEIU HealthCare IL — — 2 $2,500.00
IUOE Local 399 — — 3 $2,500.00
Phillips 66 — — 1 $2,500.00
Midwest Gaming & Entertainment, LLC — — 1 $2,500.00

Recent receipts

Date Contributor Committee Amount
2026-09-11 Chicago Land Operators Joint Labor-Management Countryside, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-09-11 Chicago John Dineen Lodge #7 Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $2,500.00
2026-08-26 Illinois Hotel-Motel PAC Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-26 Illinois Federation of Teachers Westmont, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-26 Wine and Spirits Distributors of Illinois Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-26 Health Care Council of Illinois Springfield, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-26 Bricklayers & Allied Craftworkers Union, DC 1 of Illinois Elmhurst, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-26 McGuireWoods Consulting LLC Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-26 Google Mountain View, CA Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-26 SEIU HealthCare IL Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $2,000.00
2026-08-26 Illinois Manufactured Housing Association Springfield, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $3,000.00
2026-08-03 Local 2 Chicago Firefighters Union Local 2 Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $25,000.00
2026-08-03 Tom Earth agent · Aetna Chesterton, IN Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-08-03 Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-27 Big I Illinois PAC Springfield, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-27 SMART TD PAC Independence, OH Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-22 Ameren St. Louis, MO Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-22 Reynolds American Winston-Salem, NC Friends of Mike Kelly $1,500.00
2026-07-22 Illinois Realtor PAC Springfield, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $2,000.00
2026-07-16 IUOE Local 399 Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-16 Illinois State Medical Society Chicago, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-16 PCI Gaming Authority Atmore, AL Friends of Mike Kelly $2,000.00
2026-07-10 Fueling Illinois PAC Springfield, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-10 Ameren St. Louis, MO Friends of Mike Kelly $1,000.00
2026-07-10 Illinois Trial Lawyers Association Springfield, IL Friends of Mike Kelly $2,000.00

Legislative Effectiveness (Moneyball)

2 Laws Passed
5% Effectiveness Rate
2.7 Avg Co-sponsors / Law
14% Cross-Party Bills
178 Unique Collaborators
30.9 Moneyball Score
Network Hub Wide Tent

Value Assessment

ML model predicts legislative effectiveness from network position, demographics, and topic profile, then compares to actual performance. View full recruitment rankings →

7% Predicted Effectiveness
5% Actual Effectiveness
+2% Residual
Undervalued Value Pctl: 96

Notable Bills

Highest probability bills sponsored or co-sponsored by Michael J. Kelly.

Bill Description Predicted Dest. P(Advance) Forecast Stage Status
HB1447 PUBLIC FUNDS-ONLINE INFO Became Law 100% 99% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB2409 PFAS-FIREFIGHTING PPE Became Law 100% 100% High Signed into Law PASSED
HB2335 VEH CD-VARIOUS Stuck 40% 2% Low Floor Vote OPEN
HB2705 PEN CD-CHI FIRE-RECIPROCAL ACT Stuck 15% 2% Low Floor Vote OPEN
HB2704 PEN CD-CHICAGO-RECIPROCAL ACT Stuck 15% — Floor Vote OPEN
HB4477 EMS SYSTEMS-VARIOUS Stuck 15% — In Committee OPEN
HB5120 OSFM-REGULATORY SUNSET EXT Stuck 15% — In Committee OPEN
HB1392 GOVERNMENT-TECH Stuck 8% — In Committee OPEN
HB1393 GOVERNMENT-TECH Stuck 8% — In Committee OPEN
HB1395 EMPLOYMENT-TECH Stuck 8% — In Committee OPEN

Voting Bloc

Member of Opposition Democrat Caucus — 80 members (80D/0R) (80 members, 0% cohesion).