Legislative Intelligence

What's happening in the Illinois General Assembly right now.

Model Confidence: RELIABLE ROC-AUC 0.917 · Last backtest: 65% accurate
9998 bills scored · 5 voting blocs · 108 anomalies flagged

Bills to Watch

Open bills with the most interesting ML signals — high confidence forecasts, surprise predictions, and bills at critical junctures.

Stuck 99%

SB0206

MEDICAID-HYPOALLERGENIC FORMLA

Doris Turner Passed Committee
Warning: reached Passed Committee but model predicts stall (99% confidence)
Stuck 99%

SB1305

JUV CT-REUNITE CHILD-FAMILY

Lakesia Collins Passed Committee
Warning: reached Passed Committee but model predicts stall (99% confidence)

Upcoming Hearings

Committee hearings scheduled in the next 14 days — key moments for witness slips and constituent contact.

No upcoming hearings in the schedule.

10 open bills in committee (or more) never scheduled for a hearing
  • HB1056 — PREVAILING WAGE-PUBLIC WORKS In Committee
  • HB5756 — ALGORITHMIC PRICING DISCLOSURE In Committee
  • HB5771 — $HIGHER ED-PRISON EDUC PROGRAM In Committee
  • HB5774 — MEDICAID-PAYMENT RATES-FQHCS In Committee
  • SB1486 — CONSUMER FRAUD-FEE DISCLOSURE In Committee
  • HB0226 — BUSINESS-TECH In Committee
  • HB5762 — TRUST ACT-LAW ENFORCEMENT In Committee
  • HB1081 — MEDICAID-THERAPAUTIC RECREATON In Committee
  • SB0040 — ENERGY-VARIOUS In Committee
  • SB1524 — DOC-HOSPICE/PALLIATIVE CARE In Committee

Power Movers

Legislators with the highest true influence — combining bill effectiveness, network position, swing votes, and ML-predicted sponsor pull.

#1 Moderate

Napoleon Harris, III

Democrat · Senate District 15

50
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#2 Moderate

Laura M. Murphy

Democrat · Senate District 28

47
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#3 Moderate

Martin J. Moylan

Democrat · House District 55

47
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#4 Moderate

Suzy Glowiak Hilton

Democrat · Senate District 23

46
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness) Bills they sponsor outperform predictions (positive pull)
#5 Moderate

David Koehler

Democrat · Senate District 46

45
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)
#6 Moderate

Sara Feigenholtz

Democrat · Senate District 6

45
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)
#7 Moderate

Julie A. Morrison

Democrat · Senate District 29

44
Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)
#8 Moderate

Jehan Gordon-Booth

Democrat · House District 92

43
Gets bills passed (high Moneyball) Bridges legislative blocs (high betweenness)

Coalition Landscape

5 voting blocs discovered by ML. These are groups of legislators who consistently vote together.

Opposition Bipartisan Caucus

2 members 1D / 1R Cohesion: 0%
Top influencer: Elgie R. Sims, Jr.

Consensus Democrat Transportation & State Government Bloc

80 members 80D / 0R Cohesion: 100%
Transportation State Government Commerce
Top influencer: Martin J. Moylan

GOP-Leaning Transportation Bloc

41 members 1D / 40R Cohesion: 100%
Transportation
Top influencer: Brad Stephens

Opposition Republican Bloc

19 members 0D / 19R Cohesion: 100%
Top influencer: Seth Lewis

Consensus Democrat Bloc

38 members 38D / 0R Cohesion: 100%
Top influencer: Napoleon Harris, III

Anomaly Alert

Bills with suspicious witness slip patterns that may indicate coordinated campaigns.

HB2827 HOMESCHOOL ACT single org files 81% of slips; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); very low org diversity (4.5%); high org concentration (HHI=0.66) 133746 slips
HB1402 $CDB-J’VILLE DEVELOP CTR single org files 92% of slips; names appear 6.0x on avg; high org concentration (HHI=0.85) 12 slips
HB1390 MOTOR FUEL-VARIOUS single org files 80% of slips; names appear 5.0x on avg; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); high org concentration (HHI=0.68) 10 slips
HB1092 PROP TX-SENIOR FREEZE single org files 70% of slips; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); high org concentration (HHI=0.54) 10 slips
HB2927 INCLUSIVE HISTORY ACT single org files 81% of slips; near-unanimous position (>95% one side); high org concentration (HHI=0.66) 1317 slips